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The Precedent Problem: Why a Natural-Strait Fee Echoes Beyond Hormuz

Suez and Panama are man-made canals that charge tolls for built infrastructure; Hormuz is a natural strait where UNCLOS permits only service fees, not passage tolls. There is no post-1945 precedent for a coastal state charging mandatory tolls on a natural strait. If Hormuz sets one, every chokepoint — Bab-el-Mandeb, Malacca, the South China Sea — becomes vulnerable. This post reads the precedent problem and why the service-fee distinction is the firewall.

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The Other Shore: Why Oman Is the Decisive Riparian at Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz has two shores. The southern bank is Oman’s Musandam Peninsula, and at 21 nautical miles wide with two 12-mile territorial seas, there is no neutral corridor — every transit passes through Iranian or Omani waters. Oman’s UNCLOS free-transit position is the single most important lever for converting the unilateral Iranian arrangement into an equal-access institutional one. This post reads the other shore and the Malacca-style cooperative model it points toward.

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China’s Help on Hormuz: Reading the Trump-Xi Summit’s ‘Open and Free of Charge’ Line

Trump and Xi met in Beijing on 14-15 May, the first US state visit to China since 2017. The joint position supports reopening the strait and rejects ‘a charge for transiting through it.’ This post reads what the phrase means against UNCLOS Article 26 and the Suez/Panama services-fee precedent, separates the rejection of the Iranian sovereignty-asserting toll from the question of how a working authority recovers its institutional cost, and identifies where the summit narrows the negotiating space.

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