Chokepoint Comparison

Hormuz vs Suez vs Panama

Side-by-side comparison of the three most important maritime chokepoint toll systems in the world: the proposed Hormuz Toll model, the Suez Canal Authority (Egypt), and the Panama Canal Authority. Rates, governance, historical revenues, and worked examples for a representative vessel.

Governance & Structure at a Glance
Dimension Hormuz Suez Panama
Operating Authority Proposed multilateral authority (model) Suez Canal Authority (Egypt) Autoridad del Canal de Panamá (Panama)
Year Established 1956 1997
Length ~39 km (21 nm narrowest) 193.3 km 82 km
Locks? No — natural strait No — sea-level canal Yes — 3 lock complexes (2 sets after 2016 expansion)
Primary Billing Basis Per-vessel-type (SCNT, DWT, m³, TEU, displacement) Suez Canal Net Tonnage (SCNT) Panama Canal Tonnage (PC/UMS) + booking auctions
Alternative Route Cost No viable alternative (only maritime outlet of Gulf) Cape of Good Hope (~6,000 nm extra) Cape Horn / Strait of Magellan (~8,000 nm extra)
Annual Transits (recent) ~50,000 (pre-war baseline) ~24,000 (FY2023) ~13,000 (FY2023)
Governance Model Multilateral neutral authority (proposed) Egyptian state authority, independent board Autonomous constitutional authority
Revenue Use Ring-fenced: infrastructure 40%, environment 25%, security 20%, admin 15% Egyptian treasury + SCA operations Panamanian treasury + ACP operations + water programs
Historical Toll Revenue (USD Billions)
$0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Annual Toll Revenue, USD Billions (FY 2015 – FY 2024) $9.4B $4.0B
Suez Canal Authority
Panama Canal Authority
Suez figures use FY ending 30 June. Panama figures use FY ending 30 September. Values are approximate, compiled from SCA and ACP annual reports, Statista, and Reuters. The Suez 2024 collapse to ~$4.0B reflects the Red Sea / Houthi-driven diversion around the Cape of Good Hope. The Panama 2023–2024 plateau reflects drought-driven transit limits offset by booking-auction premiums.
Worked Example: Laden VLCC Transit

The table below compares the estimated transit toll for a representative 300,000 DWT Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) — the workhorse of Middle East crude exports — through each waterway. The Hormuz column uses this site’s published rate schedule. The Suez and Panama columns use each authority’s published methodology.

Component Hormuz Suez Panama
Size / Class Mega (GT ≥ 120,000) Suezmax-plus Neo-Panamax (just fits post-expansion)
Fixed transit component $300,000
Capacity-based component ~$308,000 (95,000 SCNT × $3.25) ~$650,000 (laden, ~155,000 SCNT × variable rate bands) ~$600,000 (PC/UMS tonnage × tier rate)
Security / admin fees $5,000 Included in transit dues Reservation auction premium (variable)
Typical total ~$613,000 ~$650,000–$900,000 ~$600,000–$1.2M (with slot auction)
Alternative route penalty N/A (no alternative) +14–20 days via Cape of Good Hope +12–18 days via Cape Horn

Figures are order-of-magnitude illustrations based on each authority’s public methodology and typical industry reporting. Actual Suez and Panama bills vary with ballast/laden status, SCA rebate eligibility, and booking-auction clearing prices.

What Hormuz Could Adopt from Each
From Suez — SCNT as a universal billing basis.

The Suez Canal Net Tonnage standard has been refined since 1873 and is now one of the most thoroughly audited tonnage measurement systems in maritime commerce. Adopting SCNT (or a close equivalent) for Hormuz crude and product tanker billing would give operators a familiar, verifiable basis and remove the largest source of billing disputes.

From Suez — laden/ballast differentiation.

The SCA has discounted ballast transits for decades, recognizing the lower environmental impact and reduced infrastructure demand. The Hormuz model’s 15% ballast discount is a direct adaptation of this principle.

From Panama — booking auctions for priority slots.

During the 2023–2024 drought, the Panama Canal Authority’s slot auction system generated hundreds of millions in supplemental revenue without raising base tolls. The Hormuz priority slot surcharge (+12%) is a simpler, rule-based analog that could evolve into a full auction during congestion events.

From Panama — ring-fenced operating revenue.

The ACP is constitutionally autonomous, with canal operations, maintenance, and expansion funded from toll revenue before any transfer to Panama’s general treasury. The Hormuz model proposes a similar 40/25/20/15 split (infrastructure, environment, security, admin) to insulate the operational budget from political cycles.

Where Hormuz Differs
No lock system, no dredging dependency.

Hormuz is a deep-water natural strait. Unlike Panama (drought-sensitive) and Suez (dredging-sensitive), Hormuz has no draft-limiting chokepoint that climate or geology can constrict. Infrastructure risk is almost entirely security-driven, not geological.

No alternative route at scale.

Suez can be bypassed via the Cape. Panama can be bypassed via Cape Horn. Hormuz cannot be bypassed — there is no maritime alternative for Gulf exports. This makes Hormuz toll pricing less elastic than either comparator and places a stronger obligation on the toll authority to be non-extractive.

Higher share of single-commodity traffic.

Roughly 75–80% of Hormuz tonnage is petroleum and LNG. Suez carries a far more diversified mix (containers, dry bulk, project cargo, Ro-Ro). This concentration amplifies the strategic importance of LNG-specific pricing (m³-based) and the environmental incentives for eco-certified tanker operators.

Multilateral Toll Authority.

Both Suez and Panama have clear territorial sovereignty supporting their toll authorities. Hormuz’s northern coast is Iranian; its southern coast is Omani; the shipping lanes straddle the two. A functional toll authority would have to be multilateral by design, not retrofitted.

Try the Calculator

Estimate a vessel’s Hormuz transit toll using the same rate schedule referenced in this comparison.

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At a Glance
Suez FY2023 revenue

$9.4B — all-time record before Red Sea disruption

Panama FY2025 revenue

$5.7B — record high, up 14.4% vs FY2024

Hormuz 2026 war impact

~140 ships/day pre-war → ~14/day under blockade (90% collapse)

Diversion cost

Cape of Good Hope: +14–20 days. Cape Horn: +12–18 days. Hormuz: no alternative exists.

Quick Links
Rate Schedule

Full Hormuz tariff tables.

About

The strait, the rationale, the governance model.

FAQ

Common questions on calculations and policy.

News

Analysis of the ongoing 2026 Hormuz crisis.

Sources

Suez figures: Suez Canal Authority annual reports (FY2015–FY2024); Statista; Reuters; Euronews. Panama figures: Autoridad del Canal de Panamá financial statements (FY2015–FY2025); LatinNews; Global Trade Magazine. Hormuz baseline: CENTCOM and industry tracking (MarineTraffic, Windward, Lloyd’s List).