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The Basket Problem Arrives: The Nuclear Stall Reaches the Strait

Five days ago this site warned that bundling strait governance with the nuclear file made it hostage to the most failure-prone negotiation in the region. This week the nuclear talks began stalling in public: Grossi says inspections were agreed and ‘explicitly’ mandated; Iran’s deputy FM says no, they await a final agreement after sanctions end, and no one even met Grossi in Switzerland. The basket problem is materializing on schedule. This post reads it, and renews the case to decouple the strait before the sixty days run out.

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