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For the first time since the war began, Qatar sent empty LNG carriers back into the Gulf through Hormuz. An empty ship heading in is a confidence vote, and because LNG has no pipeline escape, Qatar is the purest test of whether the strait is becoming reliable. But the bet is small and hedged: four ships in, five staging off Oman, output at a fifth of normal, damaged trains years from recovery, and a startup explosion at Barzan this week. This post reads Qatar’s guarded verdict on the strait.