Abbas AraghchiPosts by

At the Bürgenstock resort above Lake Lucerne on 21-22 June, US and Iranian negotiators agreed a 60-day roadmap, a High-Level Committee, a Lebanon deconfliction cell, and a direct US-Iran communication line for ‘safe passage’ through Hormuz. The summit’s answer to the safe-passage problem is a 60-day hotline between two militaries — coordination machinery, not a chokepoint authority. This post reads the pattern: the parties keep building scaffolding around the institutional gap without building the institution.

The Strait of Hormuz has two shores. The southern bank is Oman’s Musandam Peninsula, and at 21 nautical miles wide with two 12-mile territorial seas, there is no neutral corridor — every transit passes through Iranian or Omani waters. Oman’s UNCLOS free-transit position is the single most important lever for converting the unilateral Iranian arrangement into an equal-access institutional one. This post reads the other shore and the Malacca-style cooperative model it points toward.